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Casino games of chance

What are the odds?

Posted on July 14, 2024 by Analyst

How often has it been said? Generally, it refers to the absurdity of an occurrence. Unusual lack of chance is being acknowledged. Often expresses as “winning the lottery” because that chance is 1 in 10-8. Crazy odds based on the minds ability to convince that anything is possible.

Lotto tickets are purchased while better odds are ignored. Truthfully, the chances of getting struck by lightening are better than winning the lottery. In fact it is 1 in 10-6 which is about the same as being involved in a plane crash. There are even better odds for having your car stolen, 1 in 10-2.6 yet no one is worried about any of those odds.

Hope of winning over rides common sense. This theme continues elsewhere. Here is what AI has to say on the possibility of a tree from nothing:

The odds of a tree developing from nothing (spontaneously generating without any seeds, spores, or other biological materials) is essentially zero based on our current understanding of biology and the principles of abiogenesis and evolution. Trees, like all living organisms, require a seed or some form of genetic material to develop and grow.

If we were to express this impossibility in the form 1×10×1×10x, we would say:

Probability=0=1×10−∞Probability=0=1×10−∞

In practical terms, this means the event is so improbable that it can be considered impossible within the realm of known natural processes.

Chat GPT3

Despite the obvious, this idea has been expanded to include all life on earth, the earth itself, the solar system, and the universe. The absurd belief is astronomically insane yet the mind tricked us into believing its possible once again. Its the emotional interference from a possible lotto win which tricks us into buying those tickets but what is it here?

Math and logic clearly show some things to be impossible yet a generation has grown up with a belief in the absurd. The same principle is at work to convince – hope and emotion. To accept the impossibility of life from nothing implies a reality most are not willing to. To avoid it, inevitable problem is withheld by backing it farther down the train of beginnings. The same issue is still there in the end – something from nothing which is known to be impossible.

The conclusion must be there has always been “something” which appears to have been well known until now. Lack of accepted results because it really does imply a God factor. The emotional response to understanding a higher power exists drives a blinding fear to discount the obvious. As hope of winning drives the lotto sales, hope of not having to face a God drives the other. Since odds of a tree from nothing is greater than 1 in 10-40000 it only stands as a stark reality there is more to it. Given human nature to dismiss much more likely odds as next to impossible (traveling in a car or by plane), it isn’t a stretch to see how easily people dismiss the obvious.

Interestingly, we read this:

18 For the wrath of God is revealed from heaven against all ungodliness and unrighteousness of men, who by their unrighteousness suppress the truth.
19 For what can be known about God is plain to them, because God has shown it to them.
20 For his invisible attributes, namely, his eternal power and divine nature, have been clearly perceived, ever since the creation of the world,[a] in the things that have been made. So they are without excuse.

Romans 1 18-20

Indeed, the suppression of truth is what we see today along with an ignoring of what can be clearly perceived all around us. Sounds like the wrath can’t be far behind either.

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